PAGASA sees 1-2 tropical cyclones in PAR in November 2026
GMA News · 11/2/2026, 1:45:18 PM Philippine time
Story summary
PAGASA expects one or two tropical cyclones to enter or form inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility in November 2026, GMA News reports. The outlook is a monthly expectation, not a prediction that a named storm will strike a particular town.
The report cites historical November tracks that often affect Bicol, Eastern Visayas or Caraga. It also describes possible movement across the Visayas toward Palawan or across Central Luzon, while noting that systems can recurve without landfall.
PAGASA’s wider outlook allowed for additional cyclones before the end of the year and into the first months of 2027. Separately, its rainfall projection indicated below-normal conditions in much of the country during November.
Those broad projections provide planning context but do not replace storm-specific bulletins. The location, strength and timing of an actual cyclone require later observations and forecasts. Readers should check current official advisories as conditions develop.

Misu Living commentary
Our interpretation, separate from the publisher’s reporting.A relatively dry monthly outlook and the possibility of a tropical cyclone are not mutually exclusive. Planning benefits from keeping both timescales in view: longer-term expectations and immediate local warnings. For households and small businesses, an updated forecast is more useful than treating a monthly storm count as certainty.